Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 4.372067 4.698323 5.049262 5.456959 5.920314 6.433868 7.050785
2025-08-24 3.810615 4.250916 4.754940 5.382609 6.155070 7.091175 8.338606
2025-08-31 3.526379 4.034697 4.642181 5.437648 6.477605 7.831637 9.804659
2025-09-07 3.303414 3.851551 4.528310 5.449955 6.715451 8.466770 11.233069
2025-09-14 3.046296 3.596529 4.290902 5.262397 6.643470 8.642257 12.002168
2025-09-21 2.860143 3.414121 4.126909 5.148760 6.648759 8.914154 12.965047
2025-09-28 2.720416 3.280076 4.013121 5.088206 6.715398 9.277911 14.159911
2025-10-05 2.618302 3.187685 3.946502 5.084703 6.861466 9.783823 15.748320
2025-10-12 2.560425 3.149846 3.950255 5.180957 7.170105 10.611282 18.252456
2025-10-19 2.502078 3.106851 3.942115 5.255889 7.449641 11.435094 21.084720
2025-10-26 2.430283 3.040547 3.895103 5.264700 7.615472 12.072048 23.757385
2025-11-02 2.339064 2.942073 3.794793 5.180024 7.605910 12.353968 25.608004
2025-11-09 2.237715 2.827332 3.668096 5.049805 7.512123 12.469601 27.130948
2025-11-16 2.158955 2.742126 3.581798 4.980580 7.525557 12.828146 29.701458
2025-11-23 2.115766 2.706168 3.567422 5.028935 7.765480 13.752193 35.035205
2025-11-30 2.066794 2.659233 3.533098 5.039775 7.932673 14.546299 40.731456
2025-12-07 1.980335 2.553453 3.402228 4.874177 7.726774 14.357494 41.757038
2025-12-14 1.914012 2.475403 3.311555 4.773635 7.645041 14.482277 44.611664
2025-12-21 1.862399 2.417433 3.249818 4.719993 7.654823 14.856752 49.391709
2025-12-28 1.824843 2.379216 3.217630 4.716889 7.771378 15.560718 57.481314
2026-01-04 1.807921 2.371481 3.233678 4.802137 8.090656 16.958733 74.420255
2026-01-11 1.787841 2.358003 3.239475 4.868423 8.376594 18.363320 97.820972
2026-01-18 1.757340 2.327277 3.215357 4.876213 8.527775 19.380272 123.437779